Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 324.150952 366.777671 413.936600 470.157512 535.586928 609.604444 700.061416
2025-11-02 256.003753 310.909454 376.965940 462.991720 573.085238 710.637339 897.679721
2025-11-09 226.311294 287.977527 366.433529 474.955718 623.361500 822.438614 1115.265678
2025-11-16 199.997794 263.902474 348.851052 472.139762 650.055511 903.153442 1300.977909
2025-11-23 178.862729 243.241612 332.018002 466.220994 669.054087 972.784921 1479.233200
2025-11-30 164.220669 229.439731 322.393922 468.225824 698.239490 1059.598881 1696.961020
2025-12-07 149.368340 213.533100 307.602062 459.989397 709.464367 1118.387622 1876.992300
2025-12-14 138.167621 201.770149 297.499642 457.323495 728.400712 1191.237559 2093.220034
2025-12-21 125.235890 186.127931 279.798203 440.175779 720.438410 1215.899809 2223.465343
2025-12-28 120.866620 183.323748 281.866529 455.641488 770.227248 1349.969778 2591.337344
2026-01-04 117.343472 181.476073 285.156006 473.297746 825.866453 1502.909282 3029.788896
2026-01-11 111.269845 174.917389 279.947348 475.231153 852.189820 1602.362534 3373.097636
2026-01-18 103.293424 164.750787 268.038630 464.319448 853.491003 1653.607104 3623.559608
2026-01-25 96.657634 156.383298 258.590161 457.074141 861.313667 1720.213184 3928.103567
2026-02-01 93.566117 153.858143 259.182272 468.878649 909.429135 1882.210185 4514.068281
2026-02-08 88.647259 147.729668 252.712257 466.102788 926.240010 1975.917418 4943.247892
2026-02-15 83.754441 141.290077 245.131760 460.273152 935.538490 2053.325199 5347.517476
2026-02-22 80.282131 137.177706 241.563638 462.247870 962.480178 2178.225050 5927.210620
2026-03-01 75.855434 131.002219 233.575093 454.134904 965.082787 2242.060124 6336.778902
2026-03-08 72.416909 126.450910 228.393066 451.508878 980.319006 2341.597657 6893.090179
2026-03-15 67.645535 119.082666 217.149248 434.616675 958.891998 2338.798589 7101.397956
2026-03-22 66.659156 118.908443 220.244761 449.852010 1019.179633 2574.090245 8235.641074
2026-03-29 65.902702 119.120485 224.120538 467.243580 1087.542617 2847.137345 9621.319168